Are we all heading for a farmhouse speakeasy?
As shoppers we could shortly face rapid price inflation if governments set on a path of instituting minimum pricing, or increased taxation, for products deemed harmful to our health. While taxation for smoking is widely accepted, I can envisage a huge backlash if shoppers believe they are being controlled by the nanny state.
One of Britain’s leading heart surgeons, Shyam Kolvekar, has suggested that in order to save lives butter should be banned. Could we see prohibition for butter, with farm shops turned into undercover speakeasys for the dairy inclined? Again there is huge debate in the media about whether the consumer has the capacity to make choices for themselves. Given the NHS’ stretched resources in the UK, some argue that we cannot afford to let public health continue to decline and we should socially engineer positive changes through taxation.
MPs are increasingly looking at whether they should institute minimum pricing for alcohol. In Scotland the SNP administration is proposing the introduction of unit alcohol pricing, with a minimum price set by statute. However, a question remains whether minimum pricing actually change shoppers’ behaviour.
At the very bottom of the market, consumers buying Tesco Value Lager or Skol are likely to be price sensitive and may reduce consumption. At the higher end minimum pricing may see consumers go one of two ways. If the price differentials between brands like Stella Artois and Carlserg are maintained, with an underlying price increase, consumers may switch to the cheaper brand.
Alternatively, if the lower priced brands have to charge more and the more expensive brand keeps their price static, consumers may migrate to the more expensive brand. Almost invariably the more expensive brand has higher alcohol content, so the minimum pricing strategy could actually lead a significant proportion of drinkers to increase the volume of alcohol they consume.
With public coffers running perilously low, the administration may see the taxation of ‘harmful to health’ consumables as an attractive mechanism to increase the tax yield. If they can overcome the inevitable public backlash by highlighting the benefits to the nation’s health we could see shoppers paying ever greater prices for so called ‘bad’ foods. The question we as consumers need to put to the lawmakers is this, ‘how do you decide which foods to tax?’ If you tax butter, why not chocolate, cheese and cream – where does it end? My worry is that shoppers may soon be propping up the NHS by paying additional taxes, which will limit choice and see the state increasingly looking to manipulate our purchasing decisions.
Do you believe the government should use taxation and minimum pricing to change shoppers’ behaviour?